Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Swampscott
Tract 25009202101 · Essex County, MA · pop 2,292 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 25009202101 in the Vinnin Square area of Swampscott, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,292. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units885
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$127,639
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Swampscott and the region
Centroid at 42.4759, -70.9085 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vinnin Square scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Swampscott
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,869 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Swampscott
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Swampscott
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Swampscott
5.4
How Vinnin Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vinnin Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 3.2%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vinnin Square
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 50.7% across Essex County.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Essex County average of 6.0.
At $1,869 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Swampscott commands. Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.2% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $127,639, annual rent is just 18%.
Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009202101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009202101?
Census tract 25009202101 in the Vinnin Square neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009202101?
Median gross rent is $1,869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009202101?
4.2% of residents in tract 25009202101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009202101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 56th, minority 27th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 25009202101 considered part of Vinnin Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009202101 fall within Vinnin Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009202101 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009202101 compare to Swampscott overall?
Tract 25009202101 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Swampscott at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swampscott; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Swampscott
Top eight tracts in Swampscott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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