Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Swampscott
Tract 25009202103 · Essex County, MA · pop 1,541 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.9/10 for census tract 25009202103 reflects conditions in the Vinnin Square neighborhood of Swampscott, Massachusetts. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 88% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 88% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,158 a month against an average household income of $121,250 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units570
Renter share11.8%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$121,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Swampscott and the region
Centroid at 42.4830, -70.9200 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vinnin Square scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Swampscott
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$2,158 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Swampscott
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Swampscott
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Swampscott
5.4
How Vinnin Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vinnin Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 15.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vinnin Square
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Swampscott, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009202103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009202103?
Census tract 25009202103 in the Vinnin Square neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009202103?
Median gross rent is $2,158/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 88% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009202103?
21.5% of residents in tract 25009202103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,541.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009202103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 15th, minority 11th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 25009202103 considered part of Vinnin Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009202103 fall within Vinnin Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009202103 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009202103 compare to Swampscott overall?
Tract 25009202103 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Swampscott at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swampscott; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Swampscott
Top eight tracts in Swampscott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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