Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Swampscott
Tract 25009203100 · Essex County, MA · pop 7,116 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Here is how census tract 25009203100, in Vinnin Square in Swampscott, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 7,116. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.
About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,541 monthly, set against $221,125 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,535
Renter share6.2%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$221,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Swampscott and the region
Centroid at 42.4871, -70.8724 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vinnin Square scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Swampscott
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,541 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Swampscott
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Swampscott
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Swampscott
4.4
How Vinnin Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vinnin Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.3%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 2.1%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vinnin Square
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Swampscott, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Essex County average of 6.5 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009203100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009203100?
Census tract 25009203100 in the Vinnin Square neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009203100?
Median gross rent is $2,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009203100?
2.5% of residents in tract 25009203100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,116.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009203100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 29th, minority 9th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 25009203100 considered part of Vinnin Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009203100 fall within Vinnin Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009203100 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009203100 compare to Swampscott overall?
Tract 25009203100 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Swampscott at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swampscott; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Swampscott
Top eight tracts in Swampscott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related