Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Swampscott
Tract 25009202104 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,021 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
For landlords sizing up the Vinnin Square neighborhood of Swampscott, census tract 25009202104 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,309 a month against an average household income of $82,692 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,492
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$82,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Swampscott and the region
Centroid at 42.4783, -70.9134 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vinnin Square scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Swampscott
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,309 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Swampscott
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Swampscott
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Swampscott
5.4
How Vinnin Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vinnin Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vinnin Square
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Swampscott, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009202104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009202104?
Census tract 25009202104 in the Vinnin Square neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009202104?
Median gross rent is $2,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009202104?
8.1% of residents in tract 25009202104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,021.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009202104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 37th, minority 22th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 25009202104 considered part of Vinnin Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009202104 fall within Vinnin Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009202104 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009202104 compare to Swampscott overall?
Tract 25009202104 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Swampscott at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swampscott; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Swampscott
Top eight tracts in Swampscott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related