Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Swampscott
Tract 25009202104 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,021 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 25009202104 sits in the Vinnin Square area of Swampscott, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,492
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$82,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Swampscott and the region
Centroid at 42.4783, -70.9134 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vinnin Square scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Swampscott
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,309 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Swampscott
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Swampscott
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Swampscott
5.4
How Vinnin Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vinnin Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vinnin Square
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $82,692, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. The voucher gap is 17.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 56% here against 50.7% across Essex County.
Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Essex County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,309, close to the Swampscott average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009202104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009202104?
Census tract 25009202104 in the Vinnin Square neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009202104?
Median gross rent is $2,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009202104?
8.1% of residents in tract 25009202104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,021.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009202104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 37th, minority 22th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 25009202104 considered part of Vinnin Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009202104 fall within Vinnin Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009202104 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009202104 compare to Swampscott overall?
Tract 25009202104 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Swampscott at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swampscott; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Swampscott
Top eight tracts in Swampscott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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