Skip to content
Neighborhood · Swampscott, MA

Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 27,349 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 3–7.2

Vinnin Square is a 6-tract neighborhood of Swampscott, MA and houses 27,349 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Scores across the 6 constituent tracts range from 3 to 7.2. A 4.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Against a Swampscott baseline of 32.0%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.9/10. 3.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Food insecurity affects 8.9% of adults, 8.9 points below the national rate. At $2,143 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Swampscott commands. At 21% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Against average income of $152,402, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Vinnin Square vs Swampscott How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.7% +40%
Swampscott: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$2,143 -7%
Swampscott: $2,303
Average HH income
$152,402 +18%
Swampscott: $128,964
Poverty rate
7.0% +0%
Swampscott: 7.0%
Renter share
21.3% -12%
Swampscott: 24.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vinnin Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3–7.2

Why Vinnin Square scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 6.1–7.3 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.7–5.9 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 4.1–9.0 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–6.9 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
7.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.4 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–7.9 across tracts
5.9
Risk score comparison

Vinnin Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Vinnin Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Vinnin SquareNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Vinnin Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 4.2 points from 3 to 7.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Vinnin Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25009204102 7.2 5,025 48% $1,401
25009202103 6.5 1,541 88% $2,158
25009202104 6.2 5,021 56% $2,309
25009202101 4.8 2,292 62% $1,869
25009202200 4.5 6,354 26% $2,246
25009203100 3 7,116 36% $2,541
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 23%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vinnin Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Vinnin Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Vinnin Square?

Vinnin Square scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Vinnin Square compare to Swampscott overall?

Vinnin Square scores 0.8 points lower than Swampscott overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,143 vs $2,303.
Q3

What is the average rent in Vinnin Square?

Average gross rent in Vinnin Square is $2,143/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Vinnin Square residents are renters?

21% of Vinnin Square households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Swampscott). The neighborhood has 27,349 residents.
Q5

Is Vinnin Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Vinnin Square sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Vinnin Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Vinnin Square is census tract 25009204102 (score 7.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 7.2, a spread of 4.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Vinnin Square for landlords?

Vinnin Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Swampscott as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Vinnin Square?

Vinnin Square has 27,330 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.7%), Hispanic / Latino (7.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Vinnin Square

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further