Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Swampscott
Tract 25009204102 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,025 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 25009204102 in the Vinnin Square area of Salem, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,025 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,019
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$92,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Swampscott and the region
Centroid at 42.4944, -70.9047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vinnin Square scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Swampscott
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Swampscott
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Swampscott
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Swampscott
6.9
How Vinnin Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vinnin Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vinnin Square
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,401, 24% below the Salem average. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $92,813.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009204102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009204102?
Census tract 25009204102 in the Vinnin Square neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009204102?
Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009204102?
13.3% of residents in tract 25009204102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,025.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009204102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 69th, minority 46th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 25009204102 considered part of Vinnin Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009204102 fall within Vinnin Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009204102 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009204102 compare to Swampscott overall?
Tract 25009204102 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Swampscott at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swampscott; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Swampscott
Top eight tracts in Swampscott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Charter Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25009204701
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Charter Street Historic District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25009204400
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Charter Street Historic District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Federal Street District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Federal Street District
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Downtown Salem District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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