Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Swampscott

Tract 25009204102 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,025 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Vinnin Square in Swampscott is where census tract 25009204102 sits, home to 5,025 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.7/10. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,401 a month while the average household earns $92,813 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 16% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units2,019

Renter share31.4%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate13.3%

Median income$92,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Swampscott and the region

Centroid at 42.4944, -70.9047 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vinnin Square scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Swampscott

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

13.3% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,401 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Swampscott

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Swampscott

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Swampscott

6.9

How Vinnin Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

22%Socioeconomic
69%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vinnin Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.3%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
27.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vinnin Square

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Swampscott, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009204102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009204102?

Census tract 25009204102 in the Vinnin Square neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009204102?

Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009204102?

13.3% of residents in tract 25009204102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,025.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009204102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 69th, minority 46th, housing 73th.

Is tract 25009204102 considered part of Vinnin Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009204102 fall within Vinnin Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009204102 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009204102 compare to Swampscott overall?

Tract 25009204102 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Swampscott at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swampscott; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Swampscott

Top eight tracts in Swampscott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.