Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynn

Tract 25009206200 · Essex County, MA · pop 6,456 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 25009206200 runs through the Central Square Historic District neighborhood of Lynn. With 6,456 residents, it scores 6.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,518 a month against an average household income of $70,952 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 33% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,810

Renter share60.2%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate14.0%

Median income$70,952

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4697, -70.9485 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

14.0% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,518 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.8%Housing insecurity
15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
32.5%Food insecurity
32.5%SNAP enrollment
16.3%Transit barriers
16.7%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
34.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009206200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009206200?

Census tract 25009206200 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009206200?

Median gross rent is $1,518/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009206200?

14.0% of residents in tract 25009206200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,456.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009206200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 81th, minority 89th, housing 54th.

Is tract 25009206200 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009206200 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009206200 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009206200 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009206200 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.