Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynn

Tract 25009206700 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,048 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 25009206700, in the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,048. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,731 a month against an average household income of $70,172 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 20% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,977

Renter share48.9%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate17.8%

Median income$70,172

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4621, -70.9347 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

17.8% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,731 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.4%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
20.0%Food insecurity
21.2%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
31.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009206700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009206700?

Census tract 25009206700 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009206700?

Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009206700?

17.8% of residents in tract 25009206700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,048.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009206700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 90th, minority 68th, housing 88th.

Is tract 25009206700 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009206700 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009206700 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009206700 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009206700 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.