Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lynn

30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, economic stress reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 2.0 points above the Essex County average of 6.0. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. At $1,215 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Lynn commands.

Food insecurity runs 31.4% against 17.8% nationally. Against Essex County at 50.7%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.