Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lynn

Annualized rent equals 51% of average household income of $35,313, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, economic stress reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 32.8% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 2.0 points above the Essex County average of 6.0. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Against Essex County at 50.7%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Average gross rent is $1,498, 13% below the Lynn average. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.