Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lynn

Tract 25009206800 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,061 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 25009206800, home to 4,061 residents in Central Square Historic District in Lynn, scores 7.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,498 a month against an average household income of $35,313 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. About 89% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 37% Owners 11%

Tract context

Occupied units1,716

Renter share89.1%

SVI overall1.00

Poverty rate36.5%

Median income$35,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4665, -70.9437 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

36.5% poverty · this tract

9.1

Supply constraint

$1,498 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

32.8%Housing insecurity
24.6%Utility-shutoff threat
45.6%Food insecurity
53.9%SNAP enrollment
23.6%Transit barriers
18.5%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
45.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009206800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009206800?

Census tract 25009206800 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009206800?

Median gross rent is $1,498/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009206800?

36.5% of residents in tract 25009206800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,061.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009206800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 100th, minority 85th, housing 97th.

Is tract 25009206800 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009206800 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009206800 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009206800 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009206800 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lynn at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.