Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lynn

Tract 25009207000 · Essex County, MA · pop 2,521 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 25009207000, in Central Square Historic District in Lynn eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,521. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $482 monthly, set against $26,899 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 94% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 50% Owners 6%

Tract context

Occupied units1,001

Renter share94.1%

SVI overall0.99

Poverty rate25.2%

Median income$26,899

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4599, -70.9509 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

25.2% poverty · this tract

6.3

Supply constraint

$482 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.5%Housing insecurity
19.9%Utility-shutoff threat
41.3%Food insecurity
48.2%SNAP enrollment
20.1%Transit barriers
18.8%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
47.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009207000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009207000?

Census tract 25009207000 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009207000?

Median gross rent is $482/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009207000?

25.2% of residents in tract 25009207000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,521.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009207000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 100th, minority 86th, housing 97th.

Is tract 25009207000 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009207000 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009207000 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009207000 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009207000 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Lynn at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.