Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lynn

94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Disability prevalence runs 47.5% against 31.5% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 28.5% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.