Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lynn

Tract 25009207200 · Essex County, MA · pop 2,570 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 25009207200 covers part of the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn, MA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,570. At $611 a month, rents run 65% under what the rest of Lynn commands.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 44% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units988

Renter share76.7%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate21.4%

Median income$45,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4538, -70.9627 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

21.4% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$611 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.1%Housing insecurity
14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
31.8%Food insecurity
33.1%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
37.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.8% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 43% here against 50.7% across Essex County.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $45,385, annual rent is just 16%.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009207200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009207200?

Census tract 25009207200 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009207200?

Median gross rent is $611/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009207200?

21.4% of residents in tract 25009207200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,570.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009207200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 98th, minority 84th, housing 63th.

Is tract 25009207200 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009207200 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009207200 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009207200 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009207200 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Lynn at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.