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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynn

Tract 25009207200 · Essex County, MA · pop 2,570 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is Central Square Historic District in Lynn for landlords? Census tract 25009207200 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $611 monthly, set against $45,385 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 44% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units988
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$45,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 16 tracts In Central Square Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 22 tracts In Lynn
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 173 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#219 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4538, -70.9627 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynn
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$611 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynn
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynn
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynn
7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 207200Lynn: 6.06.0Lynnparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009207200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009207200?

Census tract 25009207200 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009207200?

Median gross rent is $611/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009207200?

21.4% of residents in tract 25009207200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,570.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009207200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 98th, minority 84th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 25009207200 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009207200 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25009207200 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25009207200 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009207200 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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