Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lawrence

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Food insecurity runs 40.8% against 17.8% nationally.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $53,074, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Essex County average of 50.7%.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,526 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Lawrence commands. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.