Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lawrence

Tract 25009250500 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,392 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 25009250500 belongs to the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood of Lawrence, Massachusetts. It is home to 4,392 residents and scores 7.3/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,639 a month while the average household earns $60,132 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 32% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units1,284

Renter share76.9%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate20.3%

Median income$60,132

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7169, -71.1694 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

20.3% poverty · this tract

5.1

Supply constraint

$1,639 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

7.9

How Arlington-Basswood Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington-Basswood Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.7%Housing insecurity
17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
37.1%Food insecurity
35.7%SNAP enrollment
17.8%Transit barriers
21.5%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
36.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009250500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009250500?

Census tract 25009250500 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009250500?

Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009250500?

20.3% of residents in tract 25009250500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,392.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009250500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 94th, minority 94th, housing 64th.

Is tract 25009250500 considered part of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009250500 fall within Arlington-Basswood Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009250500 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009250500 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009250500 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Lawrence at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.