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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lawrence

Tract 25009250500 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,392 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

25009250500 is a census tract in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District area of Lawrence, MA. It scores 9/10 for landlords. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 32% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,284
Renter share76.9%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$60,132

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Arlington-Basswood Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 18 tracts In Lawrence
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 173 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7169, -71.1694 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lawrence
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,639 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lawrence
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lawrence
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lawrence
7.9

How Arlington-Basswood Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlington-Basswood Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.0This tracttract 2505007.6Lawrenceparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington-Basswood Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Food insecurity runs 37.1% against 17.8% nationally. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $60,132, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Against Essex County at 50.7%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #4,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009250500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009250500?

Census tract 25009250500 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009250500?

Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009250500?

20.3% of residents in tract 25009250500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,392.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009250500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 94th, minority 94th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 25009250500 considered part of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009250500 fall within Arlington-Basswood Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25009250500 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25009250500 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009250500 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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