Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Sixteen Acres Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013801605 · Hampden County, MA · pop 5,206 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

25013801605 is a census tract in the Sixteen Acres area of Springfield, MA. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. At $709 a month, rents run 38% under what the rest of Springfield commands.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 15% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,734

Renter share34.1%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate29.1%

Median income$71,929

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0958, -72.5037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sixteen Acres scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

29.1% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$709 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Sixteen Acres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sixteen Acres. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.7%Housing insecurity
14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
31.5%SNAP enrollment
13.5%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sixteen Acres

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. It sits 2.1 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 31.5% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against Hampden County at 46.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $71,929, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801605

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801605?

Census tract 25013801605 in the Sixteen Acres neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013801605?

Median gross rent is $709/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801605?

29.1% of residents in tract 25013801605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,206.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 95th, minority 76th, housing 67th.

Is tract 25013801605 considered part of Sixteen Acres?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801605 fall within Sixteen Acres (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013801605 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013801605 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801605 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.