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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013801300 · Hampden County, MA · pop 5,288 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 25013801300 covers part of the Winchester Square Historic District area of Springfield, MA, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,288. SNAP participation runs 49.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 26% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,746
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate31.8%
Median income$37,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Winchester Square Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 37 tracts In Springfield
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#320 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1157, -72.5716 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Square Historic District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
31.8% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$734 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How Winchester Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 8013006.5Springfieldparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Square Historic District

30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $734, 36% below the Springfield average.

Housing insecurity runs 32.8% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 2.1 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8.

Against Hampden County at 46.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801300?

Census tract 25013801300 in the Winchester Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013801300?

Median gross rent is $734/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801300?

31.8% of residents in tract 25013801300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,288.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 99th, minority 91th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 25013801300 considered part of Winchester Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801300 fall within Winchester Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013801300 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013801300 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801300 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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