Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013802101 · Hampden County, MA · pop 6,320 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 25013802101 sits in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District area of Springfield eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 20% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units2,740

Renter share47.5%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate36.5%

Median income$60,463

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0793, -72.5688 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

36.5% poverty · this tract

9.1

Supply constraint

$1,343 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.2%Housing insecurity
16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
28.8%Food insecurity
35.7%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
39.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 2.1 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hampden County average of 46.5%. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,343, 17% above the Springfield average. Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $60,463.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013802101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802101?

Census tract 25013802101 in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013802101?

Median gross rent is $1,343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802101?

36.5% of residents in tract 25013802101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,320.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 97th, minority 64th, housing 61th.

Is tract 25013802101 considered part of Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802101 fall within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013802101 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013802101 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013802101 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.