Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Lowell Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25017311400 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,780
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 25017311400 in Lowell ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,780 residents. That is riskier than about 42% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,738 monthly, set against $90,244 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,602
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$90,244
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lowell and the region
Centroid at 42.6326, -71.3519 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lowell scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,738 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
How Lowell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 309Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2013)
- 56Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 15.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lowell
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017311400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017311400?
Census tract 25017311400 in Lowell scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017311400?
Median gross rent is $1,738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017311400?
12.3% of residents in tract 25017311400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,780.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017311400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 38th, minority 75th, housing 85th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017311400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 309 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017311400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.61% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 25017311400 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25017311400 compare to Lowell overall?
Tract 25017311400 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Lowell at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lowell
Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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/ 10 · Elevated
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5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
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5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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