Neighborhood · Ranked #13,344 of 84,120 nationally

South Common Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lowell

Tract 25017311900 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The South Common Historic District area of Lowell is where census tract 25017311900 sits, home to 2,931 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.6/10. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,129 monthly, set against $46,108 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 85% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 45% Owners 15%

Tract context

Occupied units1,267

Renter share85.2%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate23.2%

Median income$46,108

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lowell and the region

Centroid at 42.6376, -71.3093 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Common Historic District scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lowell

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

23.2% poverty · this tract

5.8

Supply constraint

$1,129 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lowell

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lowell

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lowell

6.5

How South Common Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

211Total filings over 5 yrs
4.28%Avg annual filing rate
5.1%Peak (2016)
55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings climbed 96% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Common Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.1%Housing insecurity
14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
30.0%Food insecurity
35.6%SNAP enrollment
16.5%Transit barriers
12.0%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
39.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Common Historic District

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 211 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017311900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017311900?

Census tract 25017311900 in the South Common Historic District neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017311900?

Median gross rent is $1,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017311900?

23.2% of residents in tract 25017311900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017311900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 71th, minority 75th, housing 85th.

Is tract 25017311900 considered part of South Common Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017311900 fall within South Common Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017311900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 211 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017311900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.28% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25017311900 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017311900 compare to Lowell overall?

Tract 25017311900 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lowell at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lowell

Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.