Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

City Hall Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lowell

Tract 25017310400 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,417 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 8/10, tract 25017310400 in the City Hall Historic District area of Lowell, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,417. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 15% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,180
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate29.6%
Median income$54,038

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In City Hall Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 26 tracts In Lowell
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lowell and the region

Centroid at 42.6541, -71.3111 · click any tract to drill in

Why City Hall Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
29.6% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,494 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5

How City Hall Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
City Hall Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 3104006.6Lowellparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 326Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2014)
  • 60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017310400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within City Hall Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in City Hall Historic District

about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Middlesex County average of 43.0%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $54,038, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.7 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3. Food insecurity runs 31.3% against 17.8% nationally.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 326 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2014, when 9.5% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,494, 8% below the Lowell average.

In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017310400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017310400?

Census tract 25017310400 in the City Hall Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017310400?

Median gross rent is $1,494/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017310400?

29.6% of residents in tract 25017310400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,417.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017310400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 95th, minority 71th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 25017310400 considered part of City Hall Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017310400 fall within City Hall Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017310400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 326 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017310400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.65% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017310400 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017310400 compare to Lowell overall?

Tract 25017310400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Lowell at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lowell

Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related