Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Spring Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Somerville
Tract 25017351204 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,003 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 25017351204 covers part of the Spring Hill Historic District area of Somerville, MA, and scores 7.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,003. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,917
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$128,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3816, -71.1047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Hill Historic District scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,575 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How Spring Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 98%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 65Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2014)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spring Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 3.3%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 17.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Hill Historic District
66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3.
Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 65 eviction filings across 5 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 1.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cambridge. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017351204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017351204?
Census tract 25017351204 in the Spring Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017351204?
Median gross rent is $2,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017351204?
8.0% of residents in tract 25017351204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,003.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017351204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 2th, minority 50th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 25017351204 considered part of Spring Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017351204 fall within Spring Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017351204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017351204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.99% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017351204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017351204 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017351204 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017351204 scores 7.6/10, lower than the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017351204 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 98% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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