Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Orvis Road Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 25017356300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,458 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 25017356300 in the Orvis Road Historic District area of Arlington, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,458 residents. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,572
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$115,427
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 42.4141, -71.1409 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orvis Road Historic District scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,830 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
3.6
How Orvis Road Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 52%Grade B
- 34%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 91Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orvis Road Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.6%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 2.7%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orvis Road Historic District
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 91 evictions over 5 years of observation.
It sits 0.8 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. At $1,830 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Arlington commands.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017356300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356300?
Census tract 25017356300 in the Orvis Road Historic District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017356300?
Median gross rent is $1,830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356300?
3.7% of residents in tract 25017356300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,458.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 9th, minority 48th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 25017356300 considered part of Orvis Road Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356300 fall within Orvis Road Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017356300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 91 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017356300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017356300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017356300 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017356300 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 25017356300 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017356300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Kensington Park Historic District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Orvis Road Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Kensington Park Historic District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
East Arlington
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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