Neighborhood · Ranked #40,134 of 84,120 nationally

Orvis Road Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 25017356701 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,891 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 25017356701, in the Orvis Road Historic District neighborhood of Arlington eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,891. On the national scale it ranks #59,971 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,255 a month against an average household income of $139,229 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 38% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units3,005

Renter share54.9%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate7.6%

Median income$139,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 42.4084, -71.1438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orvis Road Historic District scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

7.6% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$2,255 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

3.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

3.6

How Orvis Road Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
70%Grade B
15%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

49Total filings over 5 yrs
0.50%Avg annual filing rate
0.6%Peak (2012)
8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orvis Road Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.0%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
7.2%SNAP enrollment
5.0%Transit barriers
2.7%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
20.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orvis Road Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 0.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.6% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017356701

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356701?

Census tract 25017356701 in the Orvis Road Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017356701?

Median gross rent is $2,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356701?

7.6% of residents in tract 25017356701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,891.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 13th, minority 46th, housing 74th.

Is tract 25017356701 considered part of Orvis Road Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356701 fall within Orvis Road Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017356701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017356701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.50% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25017356701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25017356701 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017356701 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 25017356701 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Arlington at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25017356701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.