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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Orvis Road Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 25017356701 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,891 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 25017356701 covers part of the Orvis Road Historic District area of Arlington, MA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,891 residents. Cost burden runs 30% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 38% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units3,005
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$139,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Orvis Road Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In Arlington
High
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#222 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#971 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 42.4084, -71.1438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orvis Road Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,255 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
3.6

How Orvis Road Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orvis Road Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 3567015.9Arlingtonparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 0.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.6%Peak (2012)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017356701
Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orvis Road Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orvis Road Historic District

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 filings here across 5 tracked years.

It sits 0.9 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2012 at 0.6% of renter households.

At $2,255 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Arlington commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017356701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356701?

Census tract 25017356701 in the Orvis Road Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017356701?

Median gross rent is $2,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356701?

7.6% of residents in tract 25017356701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,891.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 13th, minority 46th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 25017356701 considered part of Orvis Road Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356701 fall within Orvis Road Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017356701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017356701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.50% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017356701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25017356701 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25017356701 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 25017356701 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25017356701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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