Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Orvis Road Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Arlington
Tract 25017356701 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,891 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Here is how census tract 25017356701, in the Orvis Road Historic District neighborhood of Arlington eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,891. On the national scale it ranks #59,971 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,255 a month against an average household income of $139,229 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units3,005
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$139,229
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 42.4084, -71.1438 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orvis Road Historic District scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,255 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
3.6
How Orvis Road Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 70%Grade B
- 15%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 49Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orvis Road Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 2.7%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orvis Road Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 0.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.6% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017356701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356701?
Census tract 25017356701 in the Orvis Road Historic District neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017356701?
Median gross rent is $2,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356701?
7.6% of residents in tract 25017356701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,891.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 13th, minority 46th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 25017356701 considered part of Orvis Road Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356701 fall within Orvis Road Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017356701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017356701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.50% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017356701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017356701 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017356701 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 25017356701 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017356701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Kensington Park Historic District
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MA
Orvis Road Historic District
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MA
East Arlington
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MA
Kensington Park Historic District
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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