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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Four Corners Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Pepperell

Tract 25017373700 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,822 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

25017373700 is a census tract in the Four Corners area of Newton, MA. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,822. Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 8% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 8% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,439
Renter share8.2%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Four Corners
Very High
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 19 tracts In East Pepperell
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#287 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,097 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Pepperell and the region

Centroid at 42.3368, -71.2040 · click any tract to drill in

Why Four Corners scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Pepperell
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,779 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Pepperell
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Pepperell
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Pepperell
3.9

How Four Corners compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Four Corners risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 3737004.2East Pepperellparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2012)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017373700
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Four Corners. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Four Corners

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.3 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. At $2,779 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Newton commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 3 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 1.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017373700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017373700?

Census tract 25017373700 in the Four Corners neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017373700?

Median gross rent is $2,779/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 8% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017373700?

1.0% of residents in tract 25017373700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,822.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017373700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 38th, minority 32th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 25017373700 considered part of Four Corners?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017373700 fall within Four Corners (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017373700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 25017373700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.99% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017373700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25017373700 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25017373700 compare to East Pepperell overall?

Tract 25017373700 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of East Pepperell at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Pepperell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25017373700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Pepperell

Top eight tracts in East Pepperell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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