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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Thompsonville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton

Tract 25017373902 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,641 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

25017373902 is a census tract in the Thompsonville area of Newton, MA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,641 residents. Average gross rent is $3,501, 48% above the Newton average.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 11% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$182,622

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Thompsonville
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 19 tracts In Newton
Moderate
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#260 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#1,057 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newton and the region

Centroid at 42.3127, -71.1852 · click any tract to drill in

Why Thompsonville scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9

How Thompsonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Thompsonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3739025.9Newtonparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Thompsonville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Thompsonville

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Cost burden runs 52% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County. The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

It sits 1.2 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.3% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017373902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017373902?

Census tract 25017373902 in the Thompsonville neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017373902?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017373902?

4.2% of residents in tract 25017373902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,641.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017373902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 23th, minority 38th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 25017373902 considered part of Thompsonville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017373902 fall within Thompsonville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25017373902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017373902 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017373902 compare to Newton overall?

Tract 25017373902 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Newton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25017373902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newton

Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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