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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Audubon Circle Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025010408 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,349 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 25025010408 covers part of the Audubon Circle area of Boston, MA, and scores 9.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,349. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 30% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units880
Renter share87.4%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate29.4%
Median income$75,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Audubon Circle
Moderate
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 206 tracts In Boston
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3432, -71.0958 · click any tract to drill in

Why Audubon Circle scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
29.4% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$2,331 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Audubon Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Audubon Circle risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0104088.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 45Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2014)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25025010408
Filings climbed 83% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 18Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Audubon Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Audubon Circle

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $75,658 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.5% against 31.5% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 45 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 1.7% of renter households were served.

Average gross rent is $2,331, 9% above the Boston average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025010408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025010408?

Census tract 25025010408 in the Audubon Circle neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025010408?

Median gross rent is $2,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025010408?

29.4% of residents in tract 25025010408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,349.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025010408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 1th, minority 55th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 25025010408 considered part of Audubon Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025010408 fall within Audubon Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025010408?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025010408 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.15% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025010408 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025010408 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025010408 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025010408 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025010408 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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