Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally
Audubon Circle Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025010103 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,397 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 25025010103 sits in the Audubon Circle area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.5/10. It is home to 3,397 residents. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units364
Renter share78.3%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$45,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3499, -71.1035 · click any tract to drill in
Why Audubon Circle scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$2,399 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Audubon Circle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.3%Peak (2014)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 3Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Audubon Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 25.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Audubon Circle
Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $45,000 and the ratio lands at 64%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $2,399, 12% above the Boston average. The worst year on record was 2014, when 0.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 0.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025010103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025010103?
Census tract 25025010103 in the Audubon Circle neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025010103?
Median gross rent is $2,399/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025010103?
28.3% of residents in tract 25025010103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,397.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025010103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 1th, minority 63th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 25025010103 considered part of Audubon Circle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025010103 fall within Audubon Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025010103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 25025010103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.25% of renter households, peaking at 0.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025010103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025010103 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025010103 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025010103 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025010103 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Related