Within neighborhood
63
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally
Audubon Circle Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025010206 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,218 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 25025010206 covers part of the Audubon Circle area of Boston, MA, and scores 9.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,218. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,226
Renter share96.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$60,769
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3465, -71.0942 · click any tract to drill in
Why Audubon Circle scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$2,597 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Audubon Circle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 33Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Audubon Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Audubon Circle
Annualized rent equals 51% of average household income of $60,769, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. At $2,597 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Boston commands.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025010206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025010206?
Census tract 25025010206 in the Audubon Circle neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025010206?
Median gross rent is $2,597/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025010206?
28.9% of residents in tract 25025010206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,218.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025010206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 1th, minority 67th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 25025010206 considered part of Audubon Circle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025010206 fall within Audubon Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025010206 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025010206 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025010206 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025010206 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025010206 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Kane Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Downtown Crossing
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Related