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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025020305 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,950 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 25025020305 sits in the Bulfinch Triangle area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. It is home to 3,950 residents. Average gross rent is $3,247, 51% above the Boston average.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 42% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units2,154
Renter share79.5%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$143,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Bulfinch Triangle
Low
Within parent city
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#197 of 206 tracts In Boston
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#217 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Very Low
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#604 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3668, -71.0646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$3,247 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Bulfinch Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bulfinch Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 0203058.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 117Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.87×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bulfinch Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bulfinch Triangle

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.1% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The voucher gap is 14.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.3% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025020305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025020305?

Census tract 25025020305 in the Bulfinch Triangle neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025020305?

Median gross rent is $3,247/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025020305?

11.5% of residents in tract 25025020305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,950.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025020305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 4th, minority 53th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 25025020305 considered part of Bulfinch Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025020305 fall within Bulfinch Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025020305 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025020305 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025020305 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025020305 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025020305 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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