Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025040401 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,872 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 25025040401 covers part of the Bulfinch Triangle area of Boston, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,872. Average gross rent is $1,154, 46% below the Boston average.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,266
Renter share53.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$155,918
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3740, -71.0665 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,154 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Bulfinch Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 60%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 166Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2015)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 39Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.23×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bulfinch Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 4.0%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bulfinch Triangle
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Suffolk County average of 7.9.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 166 filings here across 5 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 9% of average household income of $155,918, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025040401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025040401?
Census tract 25025040401 in the Bulfinch Triangle neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025040401?
Median gross rent is $1,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025040401?
3.9% of residents in tract 25025040401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,872.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025040401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 83th, minority 41th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 25025040401 considered part of Bulfinch Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025040401 fall within Bulfinch Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025040401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025040401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.19% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025040401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025040401 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025040401 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025040401 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025040401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 60% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Kane Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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