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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025020304 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,200 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

25025020304 is a census tract in the Bulfinch Triangle area of Boston, MA. It scores 6.9/10 for landlords. Average gross rent is $3,501, 63% above the Boston average.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 51% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units780
Renter share90.4%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$189,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 9 tracts In Bulfinch Triangle
Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#143 of 206 tracts In Boston
Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#161 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Low
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#571 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3641, -71.0610 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Bulfinch Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bulfinch Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.9This tracttract 0203048.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 45Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bulfinch Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bulfinch Triangle

This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.5% against 31.5% nationally.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Suffolk County average of 7.9. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.4% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025020304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025020304?

Census tract 25025020304 in the Bulfinch Triangle neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025020304?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025020304?

12.9% of residents in tract 25025020304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,200.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025020304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 1th, minority 44th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 25025020304 considered part of Bulfinch Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025020304 fall within Bulfinch Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025020304 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025020304 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025020304 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025020304 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025020304 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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