Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025030100 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,188 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 7.4/10, tract 25025030100 in the Bulfinch Triangle area of Boston, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 51% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units1,192

Renter share86.6%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate14.5%

Median income$111,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3669, -71.0561 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

14.5% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$2,536 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Boston

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Boston

8.0

How Bulfinch Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
62%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

25Total filings over 5 yrs
0.49%Avg annual filing rate
0.7%Peak (2013)
5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

4Total filings 2020-21
0.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.17×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bulfinch Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
6.4%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
2.7%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
17.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bulfinch Triangle

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Average gross rent is $2,536, 18% above the Boston average. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.7% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 0.7% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025030100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025030100?

Census tract 25025030100 in the Bulfinch Triangle neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25025030100?

Median gross rent is $2,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025030100?

14.5% of residents in tract 25025030100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,188.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025030100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 1th, minority 29th, housing 33th.

Is tract 25025030100 considered part of Bulfinch Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025030100 fall within Bulfinch Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025030100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025030100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.49% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25025030100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25025030100 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25025030100 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025030100 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25025030100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 62% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org