Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $115,370 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

The voucher gap is 15.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 47 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.2% against 11.3% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.