Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025040200 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,679 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 25025040200 sits in the Bulfinch Triangle area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It is home to 1,679 residents. Average gross rent is $650, 70% below the Boston average.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units584
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$138,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3769, -71.0568 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$650 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Bulfinch Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2014)
- 24Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 11Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bulfinch Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 20.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bulfinch Triangle
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Cost burden runs 42% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 106 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 6.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025040200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025040200?
Census tract 25025040200 in the Bulfinch Triangle neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025040200?
Median gross rent is $650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025040200?
20.7% of residents in tract 25025040200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,679.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025040200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 83th, minority 66th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 25025040200 considered part of Bulfinch Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025040200 fall within Bulfinch Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025040200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025040200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.71% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025040200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025040200 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025040200 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025040200 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025040200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Kane Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Germantown
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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