Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Boston
Tract 25025040200 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,679 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Bulfinch Triangle in Boston is where census tract 25025040200 sits, home to 1,679 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.8/10. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $650 a month against an average household income of $138,000 a year, roughly 6% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units584
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$138,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3769, -71.0568 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$650 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Bulfinch Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2014)
- 24Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 11Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bulfinch Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 20.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bulfinch Triangle
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 99% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.16x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025040200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025040200?
Census tract 25025040200 in the Bulfinch Triangle neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025040200?
Median gross rent is $650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025040200?
20.7% of residents in tract 25025040200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,679.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025040200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 83th, minority 66th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 25025040200 considered part of Bulfinch Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025040200 fall within Bulfinch Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025040200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025040200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.71% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025040200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025040200 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025040200 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025040200 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025040200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.6
/ 10 · High
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