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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

The Flats Eviction Risk: Moderate , Boston

Tract 25025050200 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 5,400 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The The Flats area of Boston is where census tract 25025050200 sits, home to 5,400 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,041 monthly, set against $97,462 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 34% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,873
Renter share68.4%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$97,462

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In The Flats
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 206 tracts In Boston
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#99 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#219 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3776, -71.0358 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Flats scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$2,041 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How The Flats compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Flats risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 050200Boston: 7.17.1Bostonparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 214Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2014)
  • 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250250502002012: 30 filings (2.06/100 renter HHs)2013: 45 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 58 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2015: 37 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2016: 44 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 75Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-04-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-02-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-03-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Flats. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Flats

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025050200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025050200?

Census tract 25025050200 in the The Flats neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025050200?

Median gross rent is $2,041/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025050200?

19.6% of residents in tract 25025050200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,400.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025050200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 58th, minority 80th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 25025050200 considered part of The Flats?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025050200 fall within The Flats (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025050200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 214 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025050200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.99% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025050200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025050200 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025050200 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025050200 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025050200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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