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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Boston

Tract 25025070700 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,643 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston for landlords? Census tract 25025070700 scores 6.8/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,444 a month against an average household income of $126,695 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 30% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,462
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$126,695

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 19 tracts In Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#153 of 206 tracts In Boston
Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#171 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Low
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#450 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3459, -71.0762 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,444 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 070700Boston: 7.17.1Bostonparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 133Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250250707002012: 31 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 28 filings (3.38/100 renter HHs)2015: 39 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (2.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 65Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-02-01: 7 filings (2.55× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 13 filings (4.73× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 9 filings (12.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (2.91× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070700?

Census tract 25025070700 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025070700?

Median gross rent is $2,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070700?

11.3% of residents in tract 25025070700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,643.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 22th, minority 67th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 25025070700 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070700 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025070700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 133 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025070700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.19% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025070700 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025070700 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025070700 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025070700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 82% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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