Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025070902 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,079 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 7.3/10, tract 25025070902 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,079 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 36% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units1,096

Renter share61.5%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate17.5%

Median income$126,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3388, -71.0774 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

17.5% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$2,371 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Boston

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Boston

8.0

How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

50Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly (observed)
1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.59×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.9%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
20.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.6 points below the Suffolk County average of 7.9.

At $2,371 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Boston commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070902?

Census tract 25025070902 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25025070902?

Median gross rent is $2,371/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070902?

17.5% of residents in tract 25025070902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,079.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 10th, minority 54th, housing 71th.

Is tract 25025070902 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070902 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25025070902 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25025070902 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025070902 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25025070902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org