Eviction Risk in Church Green , Boston
Tract 25025070202 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,233 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 25025070202 sits in the Church Green neighborhood of Boston, Massachusetts. It has a population of 4,233 and an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). 52% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 28% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,921/month against a median household income of $40,694 — roughly 57% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Asian-White Neighborhood — 4,136 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 10.8%
- White (non-Hispanic) 23.4%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 1.1%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 57.9%
- Other / Multiracial 6.8%
How the 7.3/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 5.5 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 6.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.2 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 8.5 | Boston (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 8.0 | Boston (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 8.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 8.5 | Boston (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 8.0 | Boston (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 7.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.8 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 78Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.2%Food insecurity
- 27.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 66% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Boston. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 65.5%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 25025070202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070202?
Census tract 25025070202 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 25025070202?
Median gross rent is $1,921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070202?
29.8% of residents in tract 25025070202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,233.
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 25th, minority 83th, housing 100th.
Is tract 25025070202 considered part of Church Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070202 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply — likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 25025070202 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 25025070202 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 66% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Boston. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.