Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally
Church Green Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025070202 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,233 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 25025070202 covers part of the Church Green area of Boston, MA, and scores 9.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,233 residents. Annualized rent equals 57% of average household income of $40,694, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units2,018
Renter share91.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate29.8%
Median income$40,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3501, -71.0620 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church Green scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
29.8% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,921 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Church Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 66%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 78Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.2%Food insecurity
- 27.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church Green
This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. SNAP participation runs 27.0% against 15.2% nationally.
52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. Food insecurity runs 25.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,921, 11% below the Boston average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 3.3 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025070202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070202?
Census tract 25025070202 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025070202?
Median gross rent is $1,921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070202?
29.8% of residents in tract 25025070202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,233.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 25th, minority 83th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 25025070202 considered part of Church Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070202 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025070202 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025070202 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025070202 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025070202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Allston Heights
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Center
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Pill Hill
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Savin Hill
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
25025980101
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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