Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025071201 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,248 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 25025071201 covers part of the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,248 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 40% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,817

Renter share62.5%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate16.0%

Median income$112,540

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3398, -71.0670 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

16.0% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,388 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Boston

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Boston

8.0

How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
39%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

79Total filings over 5 yrs
1.64%Avg annual filing rate
2.3%Peak (2014)
15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings dropped 21% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

45Total filings 2020-21
1.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.80×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.8%Housing insecurity
13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
23.4%Food insecurity
28.1%SNAP enrollment
13.0%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

At $1,388 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Boston commands. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 28.1% against 15.2% nationally.

15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 79 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 2.3% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025071201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025071201?

Census tract 25025071201 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25025071201?

Median gross rent is $1,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025071201?

16.0% of residents in tract 25025071201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025071201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 95th, minority 74th, housing 96th.

Is tract 25025071201 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025071201 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025071201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 79 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025071201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.64% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25025071201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25025071201 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25025071201 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025071201 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25025071201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org