Cary Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chelsea

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 230 filings here across 5 tracked years. Average gross rent is $2,163, 11% above the Chelsea average.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 5.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chelsea. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.