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Neighborhood · Chelsea, MA

Cary Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,992 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.1–5.5

Cary Square is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Chelsea with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,992 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,912/month sits 2% lower than the Chelsea citywide average ($1,956).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cary Square vs Chelsea How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.7% +69%
Chelsea: 34.7%
Average gross rent
$1,912 -2%
Chelsea: $1,956
Average HH income
$80,608 +12%
Chelsea: $72,220
Poverty rate
13.1% -36%
Chelsea: 20.6%
Renter share
68.2% -8%
Chelsea: 74.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cary Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.1–5.5

Why Cary Square scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
68% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Economic stress
13.1% below poverty line · Range 2.3–4.0 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–2.6 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Cary Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cary Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cary Square: 4.94.9Cary SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 6.46.4Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Cary Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025160501 5.5 6,283 65% $1,724
25025160601 4.1 4,709 51% $2,163
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cary Square

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 471Total filings (sum)
  • 3.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 3.76%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 223Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly observed
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cary Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cary Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cary Square?

Cary Square scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cary Square compare to Chelsea overall?

Cary Square scores 1.5 points lower than Chelsea overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,912 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cary Square?

Average gross rent in Cary Square is $1,912/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cary Square residents are renters?

68% of Cary Square households are renter-occupied (vs 74% in Chelsea). The neighborhood has 10,992 residents.
Q5

Is Cary Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Cary Square sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cary Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cary Square is census tract 25025160501 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5.5, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Cary Square for landlords?

Cary Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chelsea as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cary Square?

Cary Square has 10,879 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (62.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cary Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chelsea

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cary Square.

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