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Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Worcester Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25027730401 · Worcester County, MA · pop 5,823

Here is how census tract 25027730401, in Worcester eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 5,823. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,352 monthly, set against $52,461 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 27% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,636
Renter share67.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$52,461

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#239 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,850 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2962, -71.7872 · click any tract to drill in

Why Worcester scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Worcester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Worcester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 730401Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 73Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2015)
  • 73Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Worcester

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027730401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730401?

Census tract 25027730401 in Worcester scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027730401?

Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730401?

16.2% of residents in tract 25027730401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,823.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 95th, minority 70th, housing 86th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 73 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.40% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027730401 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027730401 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027730401 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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