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Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Worcester Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25027730902 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,020

Worcester anchors census tract 25027730902, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 85th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,301 a month against an average household income of $82,697 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 16% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$82,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#425 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,578 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2688, -71.8472 · click any tract to drill in

Why Worcester scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Worcester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Worcester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 730902Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2015)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Worcester

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.7% of renter households in 2015.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027730902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730902?

Census tract 25027730902 in Worcester scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027730902?

Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730902?

13.3% of residents in tract 25027730902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,020.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 31th, minority 48th, housing 74th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027730902 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027730902 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027730902 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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