Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Worcester Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25027730902 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,020

Tract 25027730902 sits in Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 16% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$82,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#479 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11,153 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2688, -71.8472 · click any tract to drill in

Why Worcester scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Worcester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Worcester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 730902Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2015)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Worcester

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2/10. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10. Court records carry 7 eviction filings across 1 observed years. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

At $1,301 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Worcester commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027730902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730902?

Census tract 25027730902 in Worcester scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027730902?

Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730902?

13.3% of residents in tract 25027730902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,020.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 31th, minority 48th, housing 74th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027730902 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027730902 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027730902 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related