Brownell Holmes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Flint

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 31.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 35.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Average gross rent is $618, 32% below the Beecher average. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Flint. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.