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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Brownell Holmes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

Tract 26049010501 · Genesee County, MI · pop 2,077 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

26049010501 is a census tract in the Brownell Holmes area of Genesee County, MI. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,077. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 20% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate31.8%
Median income$36,637

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Brownell Holmes
Very Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 134 tracts In Genesee County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#665 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flint and the region

Centroid at 43.0614, -83.7476 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brownell Holmes scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flint
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
31.8% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,072 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flint
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flint
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flint
5.0

How Brownell Holmes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brownell Holmes risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0105014.0Flintparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brownell Holmes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brownell Holmes

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $36,637 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 45.3% against 31.5% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Genesee County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Flint. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent runs $1,072 a month.

35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26049010501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049010501?

Census tract 26049010501 in the Brownell Holmes neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26049010501?

Median gross rent is $1,072/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26049010501?

31.8% of residents in tract 26049010501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,077.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26049010501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 63th, minority 64th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 26049010501 considered part of Brownell Holmes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049010501 fall within Brownell Holmes (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26049010501 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26049010501 compare to Flint overall?

Tract 26049010501 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Flint at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flint eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26049010501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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