Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Churchill Downs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lansing

Tract 26065003601 · Ingham County, MI · pop 3,862 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Census tract 26065003601 covers the Churchill Downs area of Lansing, home to 3,862 residents. For landlords it grades 6.7/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 81% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,260 monthly, set against $58,152 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 4% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,374

Renter share18.8%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate30.7%

Median income$58,152

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansing and the region

Centroid at 42.6904, -84.5971 · click any tract to drill in

Why Churchill Downs scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lansing

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

30.7% poverty · this tract

7.7

Supply constraint

$1,260 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lansing

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lansing

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lansing

4.5

How Churchill Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Churchill Downs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.8%Housing insecurity
17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
29.5%Food insecurity
30.8%SNAP enrollment
14.8%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
19.9%Frequent mental distress
38.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Churchill Downs

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lansing eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ingham County average of 6.2 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26065003601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26065003601?

Census tract 26065003601 in the Churchill Downs neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26065003601?

Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26065003601?

30.7% of residents in tract 26065003601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,862.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26065003601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 81th, minority 79th, housing 21th.

Is tract 26065003601 considered part of Churchill Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26065003601 fall within Churchill Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26065003601 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26065003601 compare to Lansing overall?

Tract 26065003601 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lansing at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansing eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26065003601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansing

Top eight tracts in Lansing ranked by composite eviction-risk score.