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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Churchill Downs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lansing

Tract 26065003602 · Ingham County, MI · pop 3,639 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 26065003602 in the Churchill Downs area of Lansing, MI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 13% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,276
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$46,418

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Churchill Downs
Very Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 41 tracts In Lansing
High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 84 tracts In Ingham County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#527 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansing and the region

Centroid at 42.6944, -84.5869 · click any tract to drill in

Why Churchill Downs scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lansing
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$920 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansing
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansing
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansing
4.5

How Churchill Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Churchill Downs risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0036024.0Lansingparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Churchill Downs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Churchill Downs

Cost burden runs 68% here against 46.5% across Ingham County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Food insecurity runs 30.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.2/10. Against the Ingham County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26065003602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26065003602?

Census tract 26065003602 in the Churchill Downs neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26065003602?

Median gross rent is $920/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26065003602?

28.9% of residents in tract 26065003602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,639.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26065003602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 95th, minority 72th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 26065003602 considered part of Churchill Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26065003602 fall within Churchill Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26065003602 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26065003602 compare to Lansing overall?

Tract 26065003602 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lansing at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansing eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26065003602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansing

Top eight tracts in Lansing ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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