Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

East Dearborn Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 26163573400 · Wayne County, MI · pop 3,796 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 26163573400 (the East Dearborn Downtown neighborhood of Dearborn, Michigan) comes in at 7.8/10, the Elevated tier. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,226 a month against an average household income of $37,155 a year, roughly 72% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 12% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,412

Renter share45.7%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate33.7%

Median income$37,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dearborn and the region

Centroid at 42.3236, -83.1907 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Dearborn Downtown scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dearborn

7.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

33.7% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

$2,226 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dearborn

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dearborn

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dearborn

8.5

How East Dearborn Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
95%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Dearborn Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.2%Housing insecurity
12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
28.3%SNAP enrollment
13.4%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
48.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Dearborn Downtown

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dearborn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163573400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163573400?

Census tract 26163573400 in the East Dearborn Downtown neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163573400?

Median gross rent is $2,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163573400?

33.7% of residents in tract 26163573400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,796.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163573400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 99th, minority 18th, housing 98th.

Is tract 26163573400 considered part of East Dearborn Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163573400 fall within East Dearborn Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163573400 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163573400 compare to Dearborn overall?

Tract 26163573400 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Dearborn at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dearborn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163573400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dearborn

Top eight tracts in Dearborn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.