Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
South St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060301 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,380
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 27037060301 in South St. Paul, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,380. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,940
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$70,753
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across South St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.8901, -93.0333 · click any tract to drill in
Why South St. Paul scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,012 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.6
How South St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 26%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 81Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2009)
- 9Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South St. Paul
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2.
Average gross rent is $1,012, 16% below the South St. Paul average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 81 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 3.1/10. The worst year on record was 2009, when 5.0% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $70,753, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060301?
Census tract 27037060301 in South St. Paul scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060301?
Median gross rent is $1,012/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060301?
15.6% of residents in tract 27037060301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,380.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 55th, minority 47th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.16% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060301 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060301 compare to South St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060301 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of South St. Paul at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 27037060301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South St. Paul
Top eight tracts in South St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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