Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
South St. Paul Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060302 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,477
Census tract 27037060302 sits in South St. Paul, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #70,803 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
17% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,212 a month while the average household earns $97,917 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,368
Renter share15.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$97,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across South St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.8870, -93.0579 · click any tract to drill in
Why South St. Paul scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,212 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.6
How South St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 8%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 24Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2009)
- 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South St. Paul
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 3.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Dakota County average of 5.3 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060302?
Census tract 27037060302 in South St. Paul scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060302?
Median gross rent is $1,212/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060302?
7.0% of residents in tract 27037060302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,477.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 53th, minority 40th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27037060302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.69% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060302 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060302 compare to South St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060302 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of South St. Paul at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 27037060302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South St. Paul
Top eight tracts in South St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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